Category: Podcasts

Enerthia podcast episodes.

  • The year the capital stack changed

    The year the capital stack changed

    Enerthia Energy works across four connected offerings — energy consultancy, business development, product and service endorsement, and funding origination. This briefing sits squarely in the last of them. Renewable energy financial close in South Africa is running at record pace in 2026, and the reason is not a sudden rush of appetite. It is a change in who writes the cheque, and in what a project has to look like before anyone will.

    • Eight projects reached financial close in the first four months of 2026, totalling 1 932 MW.
    • Every 2026 close was funded by South African banks and local institutions, including the DBSA.
    • Five of the six private closes were structured through an electricity trader, not a direct bilateral contract.
    • The binding constraint is now offtake shape and grid access — not access to capital.

    Renewable energy financial close in 2026: how much has actually landed?

    Eight projects reached financial close in the first four months of 2026, totalling 1 932 MW of generation and storage. A further twenty-six projects, around 3 320 MW, were sitting in advanced development at the end of April. If most of that pipeline lands, the year finishes near thirty-four closes and roughly 5 252 MW — comfortably past the previous record of 3 562 MW across thirty-five closes in 2024. Those are early-May figures, so the year-end number is a projection, not a result.

    Who is funding these projects now?

    South African banks and local institutions are funding all of it. Every project confirmed in 2026 was financed domestically, including by the Development Bank of Southern Africa. That is the structural change hiding behind the volume. A decade ago a project of any size assumed a development finance institution somewhere in the stack, with the hedging, covenants and timelines that come with it. Anthem’s 475 MW Notsi project in the Free State closed as a nine-billion-rand transaction backed by Standard Bank, Nedbank, Absa and the Vantage GreenX Note. Local lenders now carry deals at that scale.

    Why do so many deals run through a trader?

    Traders solve the offtake problem that used to kill private projects. Around eighty per cent of private-sector capacity closed in 2026 involved an electricity trader, and five of the six private projects that reached close were structured through one rather than a direct bilateral contract. A single corporate buyer has to match its own load to a single plant, which rarely fits. A trader aggregates many buyers behind one project, absorbs the shape mismatch, and presents the lender with a diversified revenue line instead of a single-counterparty risk. Notsi sells to Discovery Green and NOA on agreements running past twenty years, with Discovery Green alone taking 290 MW. We looked at how that choice plays out for a buyer in trader-led wheeling versus a negotiated price agreement.

    Storage is closing on the same logic. Mulilo’s Hartebeesfontein battery near Klerksdorp in North West — 77 MW and 308 MWh — took debt from Absa, Standard Bank and Nedbank against a fifteen-year ancillary-services agreement with the national transmission company. Local banks, a long contract, a known buyer. We wrote about that shift in storage stopped being exotic.

    What does a project need to look like to be one of them?

    It needs a bankable offtake shape and a credible grid position, in that order. Capital is no longer the scarce input; the split between roughly 3 112 MW of public procurement across twenty projects and 2 140 MW of private capacity across fourteen shows lenders are active on both sides. What stops a project now is a revenue line nobody can underwrite — an offtaker whose credit will not carry a twenty-year tenor, a load profile the plant cannot actually serve, or a connection that is years away.

    That reframes the early work on a project. The question is no longer “who will fund this?” but “what does this have to look like before a South African lender treats it as ordinary?” Those are different questions, and the second one is answerable long before you go to market.

    Enerthia originates and structures funding, and works with sponsors on the offtake and grid questions that decide whether a project is fundable at all. If you are weighing a project against this market, the conversation starts with your offtake and your connection — see funding origination for how we approach it.

    Decks and further reading: https://enerthiaenergy.co.za/resources/

  • Two doors: trader-led wheeling or a negotiated price agreement

    Two doors: trader-led wheeling or a negotiated price agreement

    Enerthia Energy works across four connected offerings — energy consultancy, business development, product and service endorsement, and funding origination. This briefing sits where the first two meet: South Africa’s electricity market has reached a fork, and large industrial users are being asked to choose a side.

    Door one: trader-led wheeling

    Participation rules have been clarified and processes standardised across utilities. Portfolio-based aggregation is replacing the traditional one-to-one bilateral power purchase agreement, and trader-led aggregation is set to become the dominant commercial model in the South African private power market in 2026.

    Aggregation is the part that matters commercially. It lets renewable supply be bundled, balanced and shaped around your own demand profile. It simplifies contracting, it reduces counterparty risk, and it spreads intermittency and balancing risk across a diversified portfolio instead of leaving that risk sitting on a single asset.

    The regulatory groundwork is in place. The updated rules on network charges for third-party transportation of energy now permit cross-jurisdictional wheeling between Eskom and municipalities in both directions — a change the Minister of Electricity and Energy called the most consequential intervention in the electricity sector. The regulator counts more than a hundred wheeling agreements over the past fifteen years and around ten licensed traders already operating. Municipal wheeling tariffs are designed to be surplus neutral, so a municipality’s cost to serve stays the same whether the energy is wheeled or bought from Eskom.

    It already works at industrial scale

    Naos 1, near Viljoenskroon in the Free State, pairs 300 MW of solar — 435 MWp installed — with 660 MWh of battery storage. It has reached financial close, construction has started, and it sells to Sasol and Air Liquide under long-term agreements. It is the first utility-scale solar-and-battery project purpose-built to wheel power across the national grid to private end users, storing daytime output and dispatching it into the evening peak. Commercial operation is targeted for 2028.

    Door two: the negotiated pricing agreement

    The regulator approved a temporary 35.6% tariff reduction for ferrochrome producers, taking them to 87 c/kWh for twelve months against an average standard tariff of about 220.92 c/kWh. The producers argue that sustainable operation needs a number closer to 62 c/kWh. The 2021 agreement covering the Hillside aluminium smelter — 10.3 TWh a year, roughly 5.6% of Eskom’s total sales — carries an effective discount near 50%.

    The case for that route is jobs and export earnings. The case against it is that Meridian Economics puts the same grid flexibility at under R3bn a year using 1.2 GW of two-hour battery storage.

    Which door are you standing in front of?

    The useful test is not which route looks cheaper on a spreadsheet. It is which one you can actually contract for. A negotiated tariff depends on a decision you do not control and a relief window that closes. Wheeling depends on your load shape, your grid connection, and finding a counterparty willing to carry the balancing risk.

    Enerthia advises on which route fits an operation, builds the business development around it, and originates funding where a project needs it. That conversation starts with your load profile, not with a tariff table.

    Decks and further reading: https://enerthiaenergy.co.za/resources/

  • Storage stopped being exotic

    Storage stopped being exotic

    Enerthia Energy works across four connected offerings — energy consultancy, business development, product and service endorsement, and funding origination. This briefing sits where energy consultancy and funding origination meet: battery storage in South Africa has stopped being a pilot project and started being routine infrastructure.

    Prefer to listen on YouTube? Play this episode there.

    Battery storage: the signal is the repetition, not one deal

    Mulilo reached financial close in June on the Hartebeesfontein battery — 77 MW / 308 MWh near Klerksdorp in North West. It was the company’s fifth financial close of 2026. The debt came from Absa, Standard Bank and Nedbank. The project sells ancillary services to the National Transmission Company under a 15-year agreement. Local banks, a long contract, a known buyer. That is not experimental. That is project finance behaving normally.

    The public pipeline is large, with caveats

    Government has secured close to 1.7 GW / 11 GWh of grid-scale storage across its programmes. The battery procurement programme alone has run three bid windows — the most recent closing in May — procuring roughly 1,744 MW / 6,976 MWh, contracted to be online by 2027/28. Commentators have raised fair questions about whether all of it lands on time, and that scepticism is worth holding.

    The private side is where it gets interesting

    SOLA’s Naos-1 reached financial close in February: 300 MW of solar paired with 660 MWh of battery near Viljoenskroon in the Free State, selling to Sasol and Air Liquide under long-term agreements. It is the first utility-scale solar-plus-storage project in the country purpose-built for wheeling to private end users, and the largest privately contracted hybrid project to reach financial close here. Commercial operation is targeted for 2028.

    What it changes for a large user

    Solar on its own gives you cheap energy while the sun is up. Storage is what turns it into supply you can actually run a plant on, including through the evening peak. It moves the conversation from how many megawatt-hours you can buy to what shape they arrive in.

    The structures have settled: local bank debt, long-tenor offtake, ancillary-services revenue, and hybrid wheeling to private buyers. The question for a large user is no longer whether storage is proven. It is what your load profile actually needs, and how you contract for it.

    Enerthia originates and structures funding, and advises on where storage genuinely earns its place in a supply strategy. If you want to know what firming actually buys you, that conversation starts with your load shape.

    Decks and further reading: https://enerthiaenergy.co.za/resources/

  • SAWEM is coming: how a wholesale electricity market changes the maths for large users

    SAWEM is coming: how a wholesale electricity market changes the maths for large users

    Enerthia Energy works across four connected offerings — energy consultancy, business development, product and service endorsement, and funding origination. This briefing sits where the first two meet: the coming shift from a single buyer to a competitive wholesale electricity market, and what it changes for anyone buying power at scale.

    Prefer to listen on YouTube? Open this episode on the Enerthia Energy channel.

    What is actually being built for the wholesale electricity market

    The South African Wholesale Electricity Market will let generators, traders and large customers trade power directly rather than routing everything through Eskom. The National Transmission Company South Africa was granted its Market Operator licence in December 2025 and submitted the Market Code — the rulebook for how power is bought and sold — to the regulator in February 2026. Written comments closed in June and a public hearing was held on 1 July.

    The timeline has moved, twice

    NTCSA confirmed in April that the 1 April 2026 launch would not be met and shifted it to the third quarter. Industry expectation has since slipped further: energy strategy advisor Dominic Goncalves of Cresco Project Finance told pv magazine in late July that the first phase is now likely to go live in April 2027.

    Seven reforms running at once

    NERSA’s regulation dashboard, updated 7 July 2026, tracks seven parallel projects. Trading rules are in a second round of consultation and targeted for finalisation by the end of September 2026. A vesting contract framework and a wholesale tariff methodology are both out for comment with hearings in August, alongside transmission planning rules and a price and tariff rule for unbundled prices.

    What changes for a large user

    Today most buyers hold one contract with one counterparty. In a traded market, demand shifts from the cheapest renewable energy towards firmed, dispatchable energy delivered when it is needed. Transmission rights, grid access and where generation sits start to matter as much as the asset itself. Developers have to treat route to market as part of project design. Corporate buyers can shape procurement around their actual load. Funders move from underwriting one offtaker to assessing a portfolio of contracted and market revenues.

    The work happens before the market opens, not after.

    Enerthia originates and structures funding. If you want to understand what a competitive wholesale market does to your load and your contracting position, that conversation starts now.

    Decks and further reading: enerthiaenergy.co.za/resources

  • The 14 GW hole: why storage, why now

    The 14 GW hole: why storage, why now

    Enerthia Energy works across four offerings — Energy Consultancy, Business Development, Product & Service Endorsement, and Funding Origination. This briefing sits where they meet: a widening gap in South Africa’s firm power, and what it means if you’re weighing solar-plus-storage.

    Installed coal capacity is scheduled to fall from about 40 GW today to 26 GW by 2035, while peak demand climbs from around 30 GW to 40 GW — leaving a firm-supply deficit of up to 14 GW by the mid-2030s. Gas was meant to help, with 11 GW of gas-to-power targeted by 2035, but it’s largely unsecured and supply-constrained. The gap will be filled mainly by renewables, firmed with batteries.

    Storage is the mechanism. Solar is the cheapest power to build but it’s intermittent; a battery turns it into firm, dispatchable power that covers the evening peak. Yet the market is barely started — the region has fewer than 30 battery projects delivering a little over 50 MWh — while installed capacity across Africa could grow up to 700% between 2025 and 2030 (Rho Motion), with South Africa in the lead.

    The template already exists: Naos-1, near Viljoenskroon in the Free State, pairs 300 MW of solar with a 660 MWh battery (SOLA Group, WBHO and Envision), designed for wheeling. One project against a 14 GW gap — the demand is structural and only starting to be met.

    For offtakers, the question is whether to firm solar with storage while capacity is scarce; for EPCs, developers and funders, the pipeline ahead is large and largely unbuilt. Enerthia originates funding and lines up the right partners around a project — it does not fund from its own balance sheet and is not an EPC contractor.

    Listen to the short briefing above, or explore our decks at enerthiaenergy.co.za/resources.